Climate Forecast Rodeo logo
Solvers log first scores in the
Sub-Seasonal Climate Forecast Rodeo

Water managers need more skillful information on weather and climate conditions with lead times ranging from 15 days to 45 days and beyond. Lacking skillful sub-seasonal information limits water managers’ ability prepare for shifts in hydrologic regimes, such as the onset of drought or occurrence of wet weather extremes.

In response, the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, in partnership with NOAA, USGS, and the US Army Corps of Engineers, has launched a forecasting prize competition. The Forecast Rodeo is a year-long competition, focused on western U.S. temperature and precipitation forecasting for weeks 3&4 and weeks 5&6. Solvers compete in real time against other teams as well as official forecasts from NOAA.

To be eligible for prizes, solvers must outperform benchmark forecasts during the competition period. In each category, prizes -- totaling $800,000 -- will be awarded to eligible Solvers based on those with highest average score over the course of the competition.

The Forecast Rodeo is in full swing and after a month of action, the first scores will be released mid-May. Access scores, rankings, and forecast visualizations on the host site, the National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS).

Winners are anticipated to be announced in September of 2018. Check back for new scores and other updates over the next year!

Drought plan resource
Lessons on drought
A grazing specialist with the U.S. Department of Agriculture Natural Resources Conservation Service shares tips on how ranchers can minimize the effects of drought. Step 1? Start with a plan. Read more

For more ranch and drought planning resources, click here.
Farmers' drought insights
Insights on drought from N.Y. farmers
In a recent Cornell Institute for Climate Smart Solutions report, New York farmers shared what they learned from the record-breaking 2016 drought and what they'd do differently if drought struck again. Read the report here.
Climate summary survey
Survey shows value in climate webinars, summaries

The NIDIS regional Drought Early Warning Systems help make available and distribute quarterly climate summaries and climate-related webinars for decision-makers. A recent survey shows stakeholders from a variety of sectors, including construction, fish production and agriculture, are using those resources to make better, more informed decisions. Read more and access the summary report here.
The Drought Risk Management Resource Center conducts and applies research to improve drought resilience across the United States. It is a partnership between the National Integrated Drought Information System and the National Drought Mitigation Center, based at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln. NIDIS supports the DRMRC through the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Sectoral Applications Research Program.
National Drought Mitigation Center
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